A former United States mayor, Mike Arnold, has told members of the US Congress that Nigeria’s breakup is “likely inevitable and just,” citing historical, political and structural challenges facing the country.
Arnold, who is known for his support of the Biafra cause, made the remarks during a presentation titled “Nigeria at the crossroads: The case for action.” He argued that Nigeria’s colonial foundation and subsequent governance structure have contributed to persistent instability.
According to him, the country’s future should be determined through a referendum that allows citizens to decide their constitutional direction.
He said, “Separation is likely inevitable — and just,” linking his position to what he described as flaws in the colonial-era formation of Nigeria, the legacy of the civil war, and ongoing governance concerns.
Arnold also referenced historical comparisons with countries that underwent partition or restructuring after colonial rule, including India and Pakistan, Sudan and South Sudan, and Cyprus.
Speaking on the pre-civil war period, he described the former Eastern Region as one of the fastest-growing economic areas in Africa between 1955 and 1965, attributing this to policies under then Premier Michael Okpara.
He further revisited the Nigerian Civil War (1967–1970), noting that the conflict followed the declaration of the Republic of Biafra and resulted in widespread humanitarian crises, including famine and large-scale civilian casualties.
On current issues, Arnold raised concerns about insecurity and displacement in parts of Nigeria, alleging that internally displaced persons (IDPs) are not adequately recognised or supported.
He also claimed that violence affecting some communities has persisted despite international attention, including Nigeria’s designation as a Country of Particular Concern by the administration of former US President Donald Trump.
Arnold criticised the Nigerian government’s handling of humanitarian issues, alleging gaps in response to displacement and aid delivery.
He maintained that a political solution rooted in the will of the people remains the most viable path forward, stressing the need for dialogue and constitutional reforms.